Brazil presented the guidelines for the Pathway Maps for COP30, proposing tailored strategies for countries to reduce fossil fuel use and eliminate deforestation by 2030.
Brazil’s diplomacy took a decisive step in the global climate debate by unveiling, at the UN headquarters in Brasília, the official guidelines for the so‑called COP30 Pathway Maps.
The initiative offers flexible guidelines to steer nations toward a gradual phasing out of fossil fuels and the fight against deforestation by 2030.
The Brazilian plan acknowledges the deep socioeconomic disparities among nations, allowing each government to adopt strategies aligned with its realities without imposing a single rigid model.
Strategy tailored to each nation’s capacity
The fossil‑fuel‑focused proposal organizes the energy transition around three core fronts: energy demand, available supply, and financial dependence on fossil resources.
To facilitate practical application, the document divides countries into four distinct profiles, cross‑referencing the level of dependence on oil, gas, and coal with the institutional capacity to drive change.
Countries with fewer resources and infrastructure will have adapted pathways to expand access to clean energy, while large, established economies should accelerate transformation in transport and industry.
blockquote>
The transition is inevitable, so start planning now and as soon as possible.
Internal disagreements and international context
During the presentation, former minister and federal deputy Marina Silva openly advocated for the definitive elimination of fossil inputs, emphasizing the negative impact of armed conflicts and international pressure on climate financing.
Conversely, the representative of the Ministry of the Environment, João Paulo Capobianco, reinforced that Brazil will continue to explore its oil potential while developing clean alternatives.
The national plan drafted by the Brazilian government still awaits final validation by President Lula before its definitive consolidation in international forums.
Billions in Funding for Forests
Beyond the energy agenda, the second roadmap focuses on the complete halt of deforestation and forest degradation worldwide by the end of this decade.
PNUMA estimates indicate a need to dramatically increase annual forest sector investments, jumping from $84.5 billion to over $300 billion by 2030.
Mechanisms such as the Forever Tropical Forests Fund (TFFF) have been identified as essential tools that still require full optimization of their potential.
Next Steps Toward COP31
Voluntary in nature, the Brazilian roadmap seeks to engage both the public sector and private initiative through fronts such as the SBCOP coordinated by the CNI.
The guidelines presented will serve as input for the Global Balance of the Paris Agreement, which will begin to be discussed at the next climate conference.
International debates on these documents already have dates set for November in Antalya, Turkey, during preparations for COP31.